For Tampa Bay business owners who depend on Valentine's Day to spike first-quarter sales, this year could be a battle as the decline in celebrants is expected to continue.

Based on estimates from the National Retail Federation, 1.5 million Tampa Bay consumers will be participating in the holiday this year. This is 20% fewer than ten years ago.

There is good news, however, for Tampa area business owners. Although there are will be fewer customers, local Valentine's Day spending is expected to grow to $248-million. This is 28% higher than a decade ago.

So, how does a Tampa Bay retailer or restaurant win the battle for the hearts and wallets of romantic consumers?  Advertising is a necessary weapon to win this war.

No weapon is as potent as advertising on Tampa radio.

The buying power of Black consumers in Tampa Bay is now $9.2 billion. Over the past 19 years, according to Nielsen, the pace of spending by African Americans has grown 28% faster than by White consumers.

If a Tampa area small business owner would like to earn a larger share of this spending, the best place to start is with advertising.

"For African American consumers, advertising of all types is an important touchpoint in their shopping journey," says a recent study by Nielsen. "African American consumers are more likely than the total population to agree that advertising provides them with meaningful information about the product use of other consumers."

"African Americans are avid media consumers, across multiple media channels, which gives advertisers ample opportunities to connect with them."

The best advertising medium, though, for small business owners to reach Tampa Bay's African American consumers is local radio.

There's a reason many Tampa Bay small business owners target their advertising towards consumers who have completed a four-year college degree. It's because, typically, university graduates earn $29,106 more per year than those with only a high school diploma, according to The Federal Reserve.

There are, according to Nielsen, 669,408  college graduates living in the Tampa Bay area. In total, this population generates $52.2 billion in annual take-home pay.

To tap into a similar pool of spending power, a marketer would need to reach 1,160,307 consumers who did not go beyond high school. The problem is, there is only about 75% of that number in Tampa Bay.

The number of people reached by a campaign is, generally, what determines the cost of advertising. So, for a Tampa Bay small business owner operating on a tight marketing budget, spending can be kept in check by targeting those consumers with the most money to spend. In this case, college graduates.

Over the next 12 months, Tampa Bay consumers are expected to spend $59.3 billion at retail.  To capture a larger share of this cash,  local small business owners should consider advertising.

The US Small Business Administration recommends that every Tampa Bay small business advertise consistently.  “Think you have a great product?” asks the SBA. “Unfortunately, no one’s going to know about it unless you advertise.”  The SBA goes on to say, “Advertising, if done correctly, can do wonders for your product sales, and you know what that means: more revenue and more success for your business."

Local business owners have depended on radio advertising to market their goods and services since 1922. This was the Tampa Bay Times put the first local station, WDAE, on the air.

Today, Tampa radio, by any key advertising metric, is still the best way for business owners to reach local consumers.

Attention Tampa Bay small business owners. The five busiest shopping days of the year are imminent.

Based on data from the National Retail Federation, more than 1.9 million Tampa Bay consumers are likely to shop beginning on Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday.

“The tradition of Thanksgiving weekend holiday shopping has become a five-day event with consumers spending money in stores, supporting local small businesses, and online with their mobile devices and computers,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said. “Even as people are starting to purchase gifts earlier in the season, consumers still enjoy finding good Thanksgiving deals and passing time shopping with family and friends over the long holiday weekend.”

Based on the NRF findings, here are the number of shoppers local business owners can expect on each of these five days:

By April 15th next year, 1.2 million residents of Tampa Bay will file a tax return.  More than 53% of these returns will be completed by the taxpayer themselves, either by hand or with the help of an online provider like Turbotax.

Every season, Tampa Bay small business owners who specialize in tax preparation services lose customers to the do-it-yourself options.  This year, 589,000 local consumers will spend $113,000,000 with professionals. But, based on the average cost of services, more than $129,000,000 will stay in the wallets of the DIY crowd.

To clawback this enormous amount of money from the DIY market, Tampa Bay's tax services will need to advertise the valuable benefits of using a professional.

The best advertising option for professional tax professionals is on Tampa radio stations. Here's why.

Tampa Bay consumers are expected to spend $7.3 billion on this year's holiday shopping, based on predictions by The National Retail Federation.  This would be a 4% increase over last year.

Deloitte, one of the world's top four accounting firms, forecasts similar growth.

"The projected holiday season growth is, in part, due to the current health of the labor market,” said Daniel Bachman, Deloitte's U.S. economic forecaster. “Near record-low unemployment rates, coupled with continued monthly job creation, may encourage people to spend more during the holiday season. The economy is still growing, albeit at a slower rate. Additionally, we continue to see consumer confidence elevated, which also helps boost holiday spending."

For most Tampa Bay retailers, holiday spending brings in about 20% of annual sales But, long gone are the days when the bulk of this shopping occurred between Black Friday and Christmas.

Advertising is critical to the success of every Tampa Bay small business owner.  One of the most powerful elements of any advertising campaign is how many people it reaches.

Nielsen, the world's largest consumer insights company, found that advertising reach has a more significant effect on sales than branding, recency, and context.

There are many ways a local business owner can advertise. This includes traditional media like Tampa radio, local TV, and newspaper. It also includes online advertising options such as Facebook, Instagram, and Pandora.

They type of customer an individual business needs to reach depends on the goods and services the company sells. For instance, a daycare operator might want to reach households with young children. On the other hand, a real estate agent could be looking for consumers in the market to purchase a new home.

The charts below reveal how the different advertising options available to Tampa Bay business compare in terms of the ability to reach customers with specific characteristics. This includes age, income, education, employment status, political affiliation, number of children, ethnicity, and purchase intent.

This year marks the 97th anniversary of WDAE, the first radio station in Tampa Bay.

Since 1922, Tampa Bay small business owners have depended on radio advertising to market their goods and services to local consumers.  During the next 12 months, these consumers are expected to spend $54.1 billion.

By any measure, radio is still the best way to advertise in Tampa Bay. Last week, for instance, significantly more consumers tuned-in to a Tampa radio station than watched local TV; read a local newspaper; or logged-on to Pandora and Spotify.

To buy radio advertising effectively, there are some terms every Tampa Bay small business owner should know.  Here is a list of helpful definitions.